HomeFutures and CommoditiesRising oil prices driven by U.S. sanctions and stockpile predictions spark worries...

Rising oil prices driven by U.S. sanctions and stockpile predictions spark worries about supply.

Oil Prices Rise as U.S. Tightens Sanctions on Russian Crude Exports

Supply Concerns Grow as U.S. Implements Sanctions

Oil prices saw an increase on Friday following the U.S.’s decision to tighten its sanctions program against Russian crude exports. This move has raised concerns about the already tight supply in the market. Additionally, global inventories are predicted to decline throughout the fourth quarter, further impacting the supply chain.

Price Gains and Weekly Projections

At 0052 GMT, futures rose 36 cents, or 0.4%, to reach $86.36 per barrel. Meanwhile, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude experienced a gain of 53 cents, or 0.6%, reaching $83.44 a barrel. Brent is projected to have a weekly gain of 2.1%, while WTI is anticipated to climb 0.8% for the week.

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Potential Disruptions and Market Volatility

Both Brent and WTI contracts experienced a surge earlier in the week due to the potential for disruptions to Middle Eastern exports. A recent attack by Hamas on Israel raised concerns about a possible wider conflict. However, prices later experienced a slight decline.

U.S. Sanctions and Impact on Russian Oil

The United States imposed its first sanctions on owners of tankers carrying Russian oil priced above the G7’s price cap of $60 a barrel. These measures were implemented to close loopholes and punish Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine. Russia, being the second-largest oil producer and exporter globally, may face a reduction in supply due to tighter U.S. scrutiny.

OPEC’s Demand Forecast and Market Focus

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) kept its forecast for growth in global oil demand unchanged. This decision was based on signs of a resilient world economy throughout the year and expected further demand gains in China, the largest oil importer worldwide.

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Market Analyst’s Perspective

“Supply-side issues remain the focus in the market,” said Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ. He also mentioned that the stronger enforcement of U.S. sanctions contributed to the rise in prices. Furthermore, Hynes emphasized that sentiment was boosted by OPEC’s prediction of a significant decrease in crude stockpiles this quarter, assuming no further supply disruptions from the Israel-Hamas conflict.

China’s Economic Data Impact

Market participants eagerly await data on China’s producer price index, consumer price index, and trade activity in September. This information will provide further insights into the direction of the world’s second-largest economy.

Revised for Clarity

This story has been revised to improve clarity and readability.

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