CSU Predicts “Extremely Active” 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Weather Forecasters Predict Active Hurricane Season
Colorado State University (CSU) weather forecasters are predicting an “extremely active” 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. This forecast is based on warm sea surface temperatures and less wind shear, creating favorable conditions for storms in the summer and fall.
CSU Forecast for 2024 Hurricane Season
The CSU forecast predicts a total of 23 named storms, with 11 of them becoming hurricanes and five of those reaching major hurricane status with winds exceeding 111 miles per hour (178 kph).
Impact on Coastal Communities and Energy Companies
Coastal communities and energy companies are closely monitoring the forecasts, as the U.S. Gulf of Mexico holds a significant portion of the nation’s oil production and refining capacity. CSU warns of a high probability of major hurricanes making landfall along the U.S. coastline and in the Caribbean.
Comparison to Average Hurricane Seasons
An average hurricane season produces 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major cyclones. Last year saw above-average activity with 20 named storms, including three major hurricanes like Idalia, which caused significant damage in Florida.
Similarities to Past Active Seasons
Lead author of the CSU forecast, Phil Klotzbach, notes that 2024 resembles other very active hurricane seasons. Factors contributing to the forecast include above-average sea surface temperatures and the expected end of the El Nino weather pattern, which typically suppresses storm formation.
